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McCloskey & Bean 1992
McCloskey, J. and Bean, C.J. (1992). Time and magnitude predictions in shocks due to chaotic fault interactions. Geophysical Research Letters 19: doi: 10.1029/92GL00099. issn: 0094-8276.

The equations of motion for a two block, driven, spring loaded fault model with asymmetric frictional forces are iterated in the chaotic regime.4,5 The seismic moment, M0, of each failure episode whose moment exceeds a threshold, M0t, is recorded together with the time, T, since the last significant event (M0>M0t). Preliminary results from prediction-regression analysis indicate that the distribution of points in M0-T space takes the form of a map, M0(t),T(t) determining the values of M0(t+1),T(t+1). It is suggested that such analysis on real data would be helpful in assessing the applicability of such low-dimensional systems to earthquake modeling and may prove useful in the prediction of real events. ¿American Geophysical Union 1992

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Abstract

Keywords
Seismology, Earthquake dynamics, Seismology, Earthquake prediction, Seismology, Structure of the crust, Seismology, Instruments and techniques
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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