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Detailed Reference Information |
Allen, M.R. and Smith, L.A. (1994). Investigating the origins and significance of low-frequency modes of climate variability. Geophysical Research Letters 21: doi: 10.1029/94GL00978. issn: 0094-8276. |
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An analysis of the 130-year record of the Earth's global mean temperature reveals a significant warming trend and a residual consistent with an autocorrelated (''red'') noise process whose predictability decays with a timescale of two years. Thus global temperatures, in isolation, do not indicate oscillations at 95% confidence against a red noise null hypothesis. Weak signals identified in the global series can, however, be traced to significant sea surface temperature oscillations in the equatorial Atlantic (period ~10 years) and the El Ni¿o region of the Pacific (3--5 years). No robust evidence is found in this data for interdecadal oscillations. The 10-year Atlantic oscillation corresponds to a pattern of temperature anomalies which has been associated with interannual variations in West African rainfall and in U.S. hurricane landfall frequency. ¿ American Geophysical Union 1994 |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Climatology, Oceanography, General, Climate and interannual variability, Information Related to Geographic Region, Atlantic Ocean, General or Miscellaneous, Techniques applicable in three or more fields |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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