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Varotsos et al. 1996
Varotsos, P., Eftaxias, K., Skordas, E., Hadjicontis, V. and Lazaridou, M. (1996). Reply to “Rebuttal to Replies I and II by Varotsos et al.” by F. Mulargia, W. Marzocchi and P. Gasperini. Geophysical Research Letters 23: doi: 10.1029/96GL01289. issn: 0094-8276.

Mulargia et al. [1996> claim that earthquakes (EQs) can be ''predicted'' (in retrospective) ''much more efficiently than VAN'' using a ''rule'', they obtained from PDE catalogue. We show that this claim is undoubtedly wrong. Their ''rule'' issues a great number of false alarms, which exceeds that of the ''predicted'' EQs (mainly aftershocks) by a factor larger than 10. The errors diagram recommended by Keilis-Borok [1996>, reveals that Mulargia et al.'s [1996> ''rule'' corresponds to a nonmeaningful algorithm; on the other hand, this diagram reflects that VAN is meaningful. ¿ American Geophysical Union 1996.

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Abstract

Keywords
Seismology, Seismic hazard assessment and prediction, Electromagnetics, General or miscellaneous
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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