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Schär et al. 1996
Schär, C., Frei, C., Lüthi, D. and Davies, H.C. (1996). Surrogate climate-change scenarios for regional climate models. Geophysical Research Letters 23: doi: 10.1029/96GL00265. issn: 0094-8276.

A methodology is presented for generating surrogate climate-change scenarios with a regional climate model. The procedure is simple to implement and dynamically consistent. It entails (i) adopting a realized or simulated atmospheric flow evolution and (ii) prescribing specific thermodynamic modifications of this realization to a regional model's initial fields and externally-specified time-dependent lateral boundaries fields. The resulting scenarios can be used for process and parameterization studies, to calibrate the regional response to a putative global climate change, and to intercompare different models. The approach is illustrated with two month-long regional climate model simulations. The experiment is designed to explore the response within Europe to a pseudo-global warming of 2 K with an accompanying increase in atmospheric water vapor content. Analysis reveals that there is a spatially-differentiated precipitation increase consonant with the domain-averaged increase of about 16% in the water vapor content. ¿ American Geophysical Union 1996

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Abstract

Keywords
Hydrology, Anthropogenic effects, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Mesoscale meteorology, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Precipitation, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Numerical modeling and data assimilation
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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