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Hulme et al. 1998
Hulme, M., Osborn, T.J. and Johns, T.C. (1998). Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: Comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters 25: doi: 10.1029/98GL02562. issn: 0094-8276.

Recent century-long experiments performed with global climate models have simulated observed trends in global-mean temperature quite successfully when both greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing has been included. The performance of these same experiments in simulating observed global-scale changes in precipitation has not previously been examined. Here we use a gridded terrestrial precipitation dataset for the period 1900 to 1996 to examine the extent to which observed global and zonal-mean precipitation sensitivities to global warming have been captured by a series of model simulations recently completed by the UK Hadley Centre. There are signs that the model has been able to reproduce at least some of the observed zonal-mean variations in the precipitation sensitivity to warming. Questions remain both about the quality of the observed precipitation data and about the spatial scale at which anthropogenically-forced global climate models can be expected to reproduce observed variations in precipitation. ¿ 1998 American Geophysical Union

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Keywords
Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, General or miscellaneous
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
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American Geophysical Union
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