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Sofia et al. 1998

Sofia, S., Fox, P. and Schatten, K. (1998). Forecast update for activity cycle 23 from a dynamo-based method. Geophysical Research Letters 25: doi: 10.1029/1998GL900138. issn: 0094-8276.

In this paper we update a prediction of the solar activity for cycle 23 on the basis of a general framework derived from simple dynamo considerations. We estimate an expected maximum smoothed International Sunspot Number of 143¿30, or a smoothed 2800 MHz radio flux (F10.7) of 190¿30¿10-22 Watts/m2/Hz. These values should allow us to test the reliability of the various forecasting methods. ¿ 1998 American Geophysical Union

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

	Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Solar variability, Interplanetary Physics, Solar cycle variations

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/

Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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