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Wigley et al. 2000
Wigley, T.M.L., Santer, B.D. and Taylor, K.E. (2000). Correlation approaches to detection. Geophysical Research Letters 27: doi: 10.1029/2000GL011611. issn: 0094-8276.

Criticisms leveled at the use of pattern correlation methods in climate-change detection studies are addressed. We first explain how spatial autocorrelation effects are accounted for. We then show why it is important to consider both pattern similarity and spatial-mean results in detection studies, and evaluate a mean-square-error statistic in this context. We also show that the use of changes in climate, as opposed to absolute climate states, does not lead to spurious trends in the pattern correlation statistic R(t). In doing this, we explain how previous pattern correlation studies account for time arrow effects in considering changes relative to an arbitrary reference year. We conclude that criticisms of the pattern correlation method are without substance. ¿ 2000 American Geophysical Union

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Climate dynamics, Global Change, Instruments and techniques, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Climatology, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Instruments and techniques
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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