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Detailed Reference Information
Ehhalt et al. 1979
Ehhalt, D.H., Chang, J.S. and Butler, D.M. (1979). The probability distribution of the predicted cfm-induced ozone depletion. Journal of Geophysical Research 84: doi: 10.1029/JC080i012p07889. issn: 0148-0227.

It is argued from the central limit theorem that the uncertainty in model predicted changes of the ozone column density is best represented by a normal probability density distribution. This conclusion is validated by comparison with a probability distribution generated by a Monte Carlo technique. In the case of the CFM-induced ozone depletion, and based on the estimated uncertainties in the reaction rate coefficients alone the relative mean standard deviation of this normal distribution is estimated to be 0.29.

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Journal of Geophysical Research
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