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Willmott et al. 1985
Willmott, C.J., Davis, R.E., Feddema, J.J., Klink, K.M., Legates, D.R., Rowe, C.M., Ackleson, S.G. and O’Donnell, J. (1985). Statistics for the evaluation and comparison of models. Journal of Geophysical Research 90: doi: 10.1029/JC080i012p08995. issn: 0148-0227.

Procedures that may be used to evaluate the operational performance of a wide spectrum of geophysical models are introduced. Primarily using a complementary set of difference measures, both model acccuracy and precision can be meaningfully estimated, regardless of whether the model predicitons are manifested as scalars, directions, or vectors. It is additionally suggested that the reliability of the accuracy and precision measures can be determined from bootstrap estimates of confidence and significance. Recommended procedures are illustrated with a comparative evaluation of two models that estimate wind velocity over the South Atlantic Bight.

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Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research
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American Geophysical Union
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