EarthRef.org Reference Database (ERR)
Development and Maintenance by the EarthRef.org Database Team

Detailed Reference Information
Brath & Rosso 1993
Brath, A. and Rosso, R. (1993). Adaptive calibration of a conceptual model for flash flood forecasting. Water Resources Research 29: doi: 10.1029/93WR00665. issn: 0043-1397.

The adaptive use of a conceptual model for real-time flow forecasting is investigated. Maximum likelihood and ordinary least squares estimation criteria are considered, and the performance of maximum likelihood techniques for autocorrelated (AMLE) and heteroscedastic (HMLE) errors is analyzed jointly with that provided by the commonly used ordinary least squares estimation (OLSE) technique. Streamflow forecasts are compared for three rivers in central Italy, obtained by AMLE, HMLE, and OLSE adaptive calibration of a simple conceptual model describing the rainfall-runoff transformation by accounting for Hortonian infiltration and linear basin response to rainfall excess. Although model residuals display both autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity, OLSE is found to provide a rather satisfactory performance. Because the OLSE technique also requires less computational effort compared to that for AMLE and HMLE, one could consider OLSE as a suitable option for real-time model operation. ¿ American Geophysical Union 1993

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Hydrology, Floods
Journal
Water Resources Research
http://www.agu.org/wrr/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
2000 Florida Avenue N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20009-1277
USA
1-202-462-6900
1-202-328-0566
service@agu.org
Click to clear formClick to return to previous pageClick to submit