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van der Schrier & Versteegh 2001
van der Schrier, G. and Versteegh, G.J.M. (2001). Internally and externally forced climate variability: A dynamical systems approach using the central England temperature record. Geophysical Research Letters 28: doi: 10.1029/2000GL011939. issn: 0094-8276.

By using concepts from dynamical systems theory, we demonstrate a technique which has the potential to distinguish explicitly between internally forced and externally forced climate variability. This technique is applied to the instrumental Central England Temperature (CET) record, where variability related to changes in the (external) solar activity and variability due to (internal) climate dynamics are separated. Based on the CET record and the sunspot record, we reconstruct a map relating successive summer temperature maxima given the number of sunspots. For low values of the sunspot number, the equilibrium behavior of this map shows chaotic motion, indicating dominant internal climate dynamics, for high values of the sunspot number this is not the case. The robustness of the reconstruction is tested using surrogate data. ¿ 2001 American Geophysical Union

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Solar variability, Mathematical Geophysics, Modeling, Mathematical Geophysics, Nonlinear dynamics, Global Change, Climate dynamics
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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