 |
Detailed Reference Information |
Fortin, V., Bernier, J. and Bobée, B. (1997). Simulation, Bayes, and bootstrap in statistical hydrology. Water Resources Research 33: doi: 10.1029/96WR03355. issn: 0043-1397. |
|
Statistical simulation in hydrology is discussed from a Bayesian perspective. The inherent difficulties in both parametric simulation, based on a parent distribution, and classical nonparametric simulation, based on the bootstrap, are discussed. As an alternative to these procedures, a nonparametric Bayesian simulation methodology, P¿lya resampling, is introduced. It consists of simulating from a nonparametric predictive distribution obtained from the analysis of a reference sample, and it is asymptotically equivalent to the bootstrap. The method is generalized to take into account a prior hypothesis on the parametric distribution of a variable. A hybrid simulation model is then obtained that includes parametric and nonparametric simulation as particular cases. An extensive application is presented in a related paper <Fortin et al., 1997>, where P¿lya resampling is used to compare statistical models for flood frequency analysis. In this paper an example is used to demonstrate how P¿lya resampling can help assess the influence of a distribution hypothesis on simulation results.¿ 1997 American Geophysical Union |
|
 |
 |
BACKGROUND DATA FILES |
|
 |
Abstract |
|
 |
|
|
|
Keywords
Hydrology, Stochastic processes, Hydrology, Floods |
|
Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
|
|
 |