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Martins & Stedinger 2000
Martins, E.S. and Stedinger, J.R. (2000). Generalized maximum-likelihood generalized extreme-value quantile estimators for hydrologic data. Water Resources Research 36: doi: 10.1029/1999WR900330. issn: 0043-1397.

The three-parameter generalized extreme-value (GEV) distribution has found wide application for describing annual floods, rainfall, wind speeds, wave heights, snow depths, and other maxima. Previous studies show that small-sample maximum-likelihood estimators (MLE) of parameters are unstable and recommend L moment estimators. More recent research shows that method of moments quantile estimators have for -0.25<&kgr;<0.30 smaller root-mean-square error than L moments and MLEs. Examination of the behavior of MLEs in small samples demonstrates that absurd values of the GEV-shape parameter &kgr; can be generated. Use of a Bayesian prior distribution to restrict &kgr; values to a statistically/physically reasonable range in a generalized maximum likelihood (GML) analysis eliminates this problem. In our examples the GML estimator did substantially better than moment and L moment quantile estimators for -0.4≤&kgr;≤0. ¿ 2000 American Geophysical Union

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Abstract

Keywords
Hydrology, Floods, Hydrology, Runoff and streamflow
Journal
Water Resources Research
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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