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Detailed Reference Information |
Moron, V., Philippon, N. and Fontaine, B. (2003). Skill of Sahel rainfall variability in four atmospheric GCMs forced by prescribed SST. Geophysical Research Letters 30: doi: 10.1029/2003GL018006. issn: 0094-8276. |
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The inter-annual and long-term variability of July--September regional rainfall over the central and western Sahel (16¿W--20¿E; 11.25¿--18.75¿N) is evaluated using 21 runs from four atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) integrated from 1948. The skill is stronger at decadal time scales: each AGCM simulates quite successfully the rainfall decrease from the wet 1950--60s toward the dry 1970--90s although its amplitude is lower than observed. At inter-annual time scales, the skill is smaller and decreases over time between the 1950--70s and the recent dry period; all AGCMs have a close to zero skill around the 1980s. This is not linked to a reduced AGCM sensivity to global SST but to their failure to reproduce the observed SST-rainfall teleconnection changes, in particular the weakening (strengthening) linear relationship with the equatorial and southern Atlantic (equatorial Pacific). |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Climatology, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Numerical modeling and data assimilation, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Precipitation, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Tropical meteorology |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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