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Louvet et al. 2003
Louvet, S., Fontaine, B. and Roucou, P. (2003). Active phases and pauses during the installation of the West African monsoon through 5-day CMAP rainfall data (1979–2001). Geophysical Research Letters 30: doi: 10.1029/2003GL018058. issn: 0094-8276.

Objective diagnostic analyses based on PCA decomposition, Varimax rotation and low-pass filters (≥1 month) are performed on the 5-day CMAP rainfall data over West Africa. The northward excursion of the rainbelt can be divided into 4 basic subperiods each composed of an equilibrium period (pause) followed by a rapid increase (active phase) of the system. We suggest easy criteria to automatically detect these events and propose a calendar for the 23 years. The pauses are centered around 27--28 March (pause #1), between 29 April and 2 May (pause #2), 11 June (pause #3) and 24 July (pause # 4) with standard deviations of 7--11 days. The phase of any pause impacts on the phase of other pauses. Pause #4, starting earlier, is preceded by earlier pauses #2 and #3, then is followed by an earlier annual rainfall maximum and more abundant June--August amounts.

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Abstract

Keywords
Hydrology, Drought, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Climatology, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Precipitation, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Tropical meteorology
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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