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Groves & Francis 2002
Groves, D.G. and Francis, J.A. (2002). Variability of the Arctic atmospheric moisture budget from TOVS satellite data. Journal of Geophysical Research 107: doi: 10.1029/2002JD002285. issn: 0148-0227.

Temporal and spatial variability of the Arctic atmospheric moisture budget is investigated using a new 19-year data set (1980 to 1998) produced from daily precipitable water retrieved from the TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) and upper-level winds from the NCEP-NCAR Reanalysis. A companion paper describes the creation and validation of these new moisture budget products <Groves and Francis, 2002>. Seasonal differences in moisture transport arise from distinct winter/summer circulation regimes and meridional moisture gradients. In winter, approximately 80% of the net precipitation (precipitation minus evaporation, P-E) is transported along well-defined storm tracks. Summer P-E is double that of winter and dominates the annual pattern. Decadal differences in winter P-E reveal statistically significant increases in the Beaufort and eastern Greenland-Iceland-Norwegian Seas, decreases in the Canadian Archipelago (islands in far northeast Canada) and Kara Sea, and a slight increase in the Arctic as a whole. Annual differences are dominated by winter changes. When the phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) index is positive, the net PW flux across 70¿N in winter is 6 times larger than on negative-index days. Over the entire Arctic, P-E is 29% larger (20% lower) than the average on days with a positive (negative) AO index. In summer the PW transport is twice as large, and P-E is 27% higher on positive versus negative AO days. These results suggest that if the AO continues its trend toward a predominantly positive phase, we should expect to observe increasing precipitation in the Arctic overall, and particularly in regions adjacent to the marginal ice zones.

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Remote sensing, Hydrology, Hydrologic budget, Hydrology, Precipitation, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Polar meteorology
Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research
http://www.agu.org/journals/jb/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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