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Goswami & Liberti 2004
Goswami, P. and Liberti, G.L. (2004). A prognostic model of cloud cover based on Satellite Data. Geophysical Research Letters 31: doi: 10.1029/2003GL018329. issn: 0094-8276.

Large uncertainties still remain about the mechanisms of genesis and interaction of clouds in a large scale environment. Through a semi-empirical dynamical model using hourly data from TOGA-COARE IOP (130E--180E and 15S--15N, 01.11.91--28.02.92), we show that the convective activity leading to clouds is a self-regulating, threshold process embedded in a large-scale environment. The convective activity is prescribed through a of hourly fractional cloud cover while the environmental forcings are defined in terms large-scale moist state defined in terms of the average brightness temperature. A prognostic model is then developed for cloud cover as the dynamical variable. To validate the model we integrate it with a given initial condition from observed data. The model reproduces the observed spatio-temporal structure of the cloud with a remarkable degree of success. We identify and quantify two thresholds for large-scale forcing for genesis and intensity of high clouds.

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Abstract

Keywords
Atmospheric Composition and Structure, Cloud physics and chemistry, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Convective processes, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Mesoscale meteorology, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Remote sensing, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Tropical meteorology
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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