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Timmermann & Jin 2002
Timmermann, A. and Jin, F. (2002). A Nonlinear Mechanism for Decadal El NiñO Amplitude Changes. Geophysical Research Letters 29: doi: 10.1029/2001GL013369. issn: 0094-8276.

Based on the analysis of a low-order tropical atmosphere-ocean model we propose a nonlinear mechanism explaining several features of the observed El Ni¿o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon: ENSO irregularity, ENSO Amplitude Modulations and decadal tropical climate variability. The mechanism suggested here is based on the idea of homoclinic/heteroclinic orbits, an inherently nonlinear concept. It turns out that this mechanism operates even in the presence of wind noise and is consistent with results from intermediate ENSO model simulations.

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Abstract

Keywords
Oceanography, Physical, El Nino, Global Change, Climate dynamics, Oceanography, General, Climate and interannual variability, Mathematical Geophysics, Chaos
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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