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Detailed Reference Information |
Hill, W.J., Sheldon, P.N. and Tiede, J.J. (1977). Analyzing Worldwide Total Ozone for Trends. Geophysical Research Letters 4: doi: 10.1029/GL004i001p00021. issn: 0094-8276. |
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Total ozone data are statistically analyzed to estimate the trend detection capability which would provide early warning of ozone depletion. Based on a worldwide sample of nine stations, an abnormal gobal ozone chane of 0.26% per year persisting over 6 years would be judged statistically significant, if it were to occur and could not be explained by historical patterns. A resulting 1.56% early warning can limit maximum reversible depletion to 2.3%, if the cause were due to chlorofluoromethanes FC-11 and FC-12. The analysis shows no evidence of an abnormal global trend persisting in the 1970's. The potential exists for detecting even smaller changes by using data froom all the current land-based stations and satellites. |
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BACKGROUND DATA FILES |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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