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Flatau et al. 2003
Flatau, M.K., Flatau, P.J., Schmidt, J. and Kiladis, G.N. (2003). Delayed onset of the 2002 Indian monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters 30: doi: 10.1029/2003GL017434. issn: 0094-8276.

We show that there is a set of dynamical predictors, which facilitate forecasting of a delayed monsoon onset. The main dynamical contributor is the early May propagation of the bogus onset Intraseasonal Oscillation which triggers a set of events precluding the climatological monsoon onset. We analyze in detail the 2002 monsoon onset and show that it followed a pattern described in our previous study. We notice that the 2003 monsoon onset followed very similar pattern and was delayed.

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Abstract

Keywords
Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Climatology, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Ocean/atmosphere interactions (0312, 4504), Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Tropical meteorology
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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