EarthRef.org Reference Database (ERR)
Development and Maintenance by the EarthRef.org Database Team

Detailed Reference Information
Ammann & Naveau 2003
Ammann, C.M. and Naveau, P. (2003). Statistical analysis of tropical explosive volcanism occurrences over the last 6 centuries. Geophysical Research Letters 30: doi: 10.1029/2002GL016388. issn: 0094-8276.

Explosive volcanic eruptions are very violent events, each with clearly individual characteristics. Instead of looking at specific eruptions, we focus here on the long term record of tropical explosive volcanism. To assess the distribution of volcanic occurrences over several centuries we employ sulfate measurements from polar ice cores. From these measurements, we compile a binary time series of sulfate deposition events that left a signature at both poles. Because of the binary nature of this problem, a series of logistic statistical models are compared to best represent the data. These models demonstrate the existence of a strong multi-decadal variation in the occurrence of sulfur rich tropical eruptions. More precisely, a combination of a trend and a cycle explains best the evolution of eruption history. To corroborate this result with a record independent of the ice cores, we confirm these long-term variations with the most recent Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI).

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Geodesy and Gravity, General or miscellaneous, Mathematical Geophysics, General or miscellaneous, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Paleoclimatology, Volcanology, Atmospheric effects, Volcanology, Eruption mechanisms
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
2000 Florida Avenue N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20009-1277
USA
1-202-462-6900
1-202-328-0566
service@agu.org
Click to clear formClick to return to previous pageClick to submit