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Detailed Reference Information |
Crainiceanu, C.M., Stedinger, J.R., Ruppert, D. and Behr, C.T. (2003). Modeling the U.S. national distribution of waterborne pathogen concentrations with application to Cryptosporidium parvum. Water Resources Research 39: doi: 10.1029/2002WR001664. issn: 0043-1397. |
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This paper provides a general statistical methodology for modeling environmental pathogen concentrations in natural waters. A hierarchical model of pathogen concentrations captures site and regional random effects as well as random laboratory recovery rates. Recovery rates were modeled by a generalized linear mixed model. Two classes of pathogen concentration models are differentiated according to their ultimate purpose: water quality prediction or health risk analysis. A fully Bayesian analysis using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation is used for statistical inference. The applicability of this methodology is illustrated by the analysis of a national survey of Cryptosporidium parvum concentrations, in which 93% of the observations were zero counts. |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Hydrology, Runoff and streamflow, Hydrology, Surface water quality, Hydrology, Instruments and techniques |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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