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Vecchi & Harrison 2003
Vecchi, G.A. and Harrison, D.E. (2003). On the termination of the 2002–03 El Niño event. Geophysical Research Letters 30: doi: 10.1029/2003GL017564. issn: 0094-8276.

Every new El Ni¿o presents an opportunity to revisit our understanding of El Ni¿o characteristics and processes. We examine the extent to which the termination of the 2002--03 El Ni¿o followed the scenario of Harrison and Vecchi <1999>, in which (1) there is a late-year southward shift of near-equatorial westerly wind anomalies, and (2) subsequent eastern equatorial Pacific cold tongue thermocline shallowing is driven by the wind shift. There was a prominent late-year southward shift in the low-frequency west Pacific zonal wind anomalies in 2002--03. Ocean general circulation model experiments establish the shift as the primary cause of cold tongue thermocline shallowing. Reflected equatorial waves and local wind anomaly changes are much less important. Successful theories and models of El Ni¿o should address the processes that cause the year-end southward wind shift. Interactions between anomalous El Ni¿o conditions and the seasonal cycle of solar insolation may provide such a process.

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Abstract

Keywords
Oceanography, Physical, El Nino, Oceanography, Physical, Air/sea interactions, Global Change, Climate dynamics, Oceanography, General, Equatorial oceanography, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Tropical meteorology
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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