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Matthews & Barclay 2004
Matthews, A.J. and Barclay, J. (2004). A thermodynamical model for rainfall-triggered volcanic dome collapse. Geophysical Research Letters 31: doi: 10.1029/2003GL019310. issn: 0094-8276.

Dome-forming volcanic eruptions typically involve the slow extrusion of viscous lava onto a steep-sided volcano punctuated by collapse and the generation of hazardous pyroclastic flows. We show an unequivocal link between the onset of intense rainfall and lava dome collapse on short time scales (within a few hours) and develop a simple thermodynamical model to explain this behavior. The model is forced with rainfall observations from the Soufri¿re Hills Volcano, Montserrat, and suggests that when the dome is in a critical state, a minimum rainfall rate of approximately 15 mm hr-1 for 2--3 hr could trigger a dome collapse.

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Abstract

Keywords
Mathematical Geophysics, Modeling, Mathematical Geophysics, Numerical solutions, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Tropical meteorology, Volcanology, Eruption mechanisms, Volcanology, Eruption monitoring
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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