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Tsur & Zemel 2004
Tsur, Y. and Zemel, A. (2004). Endangered aquifers: Groundwater management under threats of catastrophic events. Water Resources Research 40. doi: 10.1029/2003WR002168. issn: 0043-1397.

We study optimal management of groundwater resources under risk of occurrence of undesirable events. The analysis is carried out within a unified framework, accommodating various types of events that differ in the source of uncertainty regarding their occurrence conditions and in the damage they inflict. Characterizing the optimal policy for each type, we find that the presence of event uncertainty has profound effects. In some cases the isolated steady states, characterizing the optimal exploitation policies of many renewable resource problems, become equilibrium intervals. Other situations support isolated equilibria, but the degree of prudence they imply is sensitive to the nature of the event risk.

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Policy Sciences, Decision making under uncertainty, Policy Sciences, Legislation and regulations, Policy Sciences, General or miscellaneous, event uncertainty, groundwater, renewable resource, management, environmental catastrophes
Journal
Water Resources Research
http://www.agu.org/wrr/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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