EarthRef.org Reference Database (ERR)
Development and Maintenance by the EarthRef.org Database Team

Detailed Reference Information
Tang et al. 2004
Tang, Y., Kleeman, R., Moore, A.M., Vialard, J. and Weaver, A. (2004). An off-line, numerically efficient initialization scheme in an oceanic general circulation model for El Niño–Southern Oscillation prediction. Journal of Geophysical Research 109: doi: 10.1029/2003JC002159. issn: 0148-0227.

In this study a simplified initialization scheme, which is off-line, is proposed and applied to an oceanic general circulation model (OGCM) for El Ni¿o--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) prediction. The initialization scheme is based on the National Centers for Environmental Prediction ocean reanalysis and a two-dimensional variational (2D-Var) assimilation algorithm. It focuses on two basic issues in data assimilation: observed data and computational cost. Compared with a traditional assimilation system, this simplified scheme avoids model forward integration and the complications of acquiring and processing raw in situ temperature observations. The off-line scheme only requires around 1/20 of the computational expense of a traditional algorithm. Two hybrid coupled models, an OGCM coupled to a statistical atmosphere, and the same ocean model coupled to a dynamical atmosphere, were used to examine the initialization scheme. A large ensemble of prediction experiments during the period from 1981 to 1998 shows that relative to just a wind forced initialization the off-line scheme leads to a significant improvement in predictive skills of Ni¿o3 sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) for all lead times. The prediction skills obtained by the scheme is as high as that attained by a more traditional on-line assimilation scheme.

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Oceanography, Physical, El Nino, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Numerical modeling and data assimilation, Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics, Ocean/atmosphere interactions (0312, 4504), Oceanography, General, Ocean prediction
Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research
http://www.agu.org/journals/jb/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
2000 Florida Avenue N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20009-1277
USA
1-202-462-6900
1-202-328-0566
service@agu.org
Click to clear formClick to return to previous pageClick to submit