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McGregor & Gagan 2004
McGregor, H.V. and Gagan, M.K. (2004). Western Pacific coral d18O records of anomalous Holocene variability in the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters 31: doi: 10.1029/2004GL019972. issn: 0094-8276.

Skeletal oxygen isotope ratios in Holocene Porites corals from northern Papua New Guinea record decreases in sea surface temperature (SST) and rainfall during El Ni¿o events. Threshold analysis of seven fossil coral δ18O records spanning the period 7.6--5.4 ka (thousand years ago) shows 8--12 El Ni¿o events/century, significantly less than the 23 events/century recorded by the NINO3.4 Index. The coral reconstructions also show a 15% reduction in El Ni¿o event amplitude for 7.6--5.4 ka, compared to today, which is greater than the suppression given by model studies. In contrast, large and protracted El Ni¿o events are identified for 2.5--1.7 ka. Taken together, the results indicate a non-linear atmospheric response to Holocene changes in El Ni¿o SST anomalies. We propose that small changes in tropical SST gradients, the positioning of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and the Pacific tradewind climatology modify the impact of El Ni¿o events on western Pacific rainfall.

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Climate dynamics, Oceanography, Physical, El Nino, Oceanography, Biological and Chemical, Stable isotopes, Information Related to Geographic Region, Pacific Ocean
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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