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Detailed Reference Information
Douglass et al. 2004
Douglass, D.H., Pearson, B.D. and Singer, S.F. (2004). Altitude dependence of atmospheric temperature trends: Climate models versus observation. Geophysical Research Letters 31: doi: 10.1029/2004GL020103. issn: 0094-8276.

As a consequence of greenhouse forcing, all state-of-the-art general circulation models predict a positive temperature trend that is greater for the troposphere than the surface. This predicted positive trend increases in value with altitude until it reaches a maximum ratio with respect to the surface of as much as 1.5 to 2.0 at about 200--400 hPa. However, the temperature trends from several independent observational data sets show decreasing as well as mostly negative values. This disparity indicates that the three models examined here fail to account for the effects of greenhouse forcings.

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Atmosphere (0315, 0325), Global Change, Oceans, Global Change, General or miscellaneous
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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