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Lavallée & Beltrami 2004
Lavallée, D. and Beltrami, H. (2004). Stochastic modeling of climatic variability in dendrochronology. Geophysical Research Letters 31: doi: 10.1029/2004GL020263. issn: 0094-8276.

Climatic variability can be characterized by invariant quantities arising from the analysis of scaling properties of paleoclimatic records. In this paper we discuss a stochastic model that reproduces the variability and the long-range correlation observed in dendrochronological time series. We have found that non-Gaussian distributions are better suited to describe the climatic variability embedded in these data. Our results indicate that Gaussian distribution fails to capture the large fluctuation -extreme events- that characterized climatic variability in these time series. This might have applications on the study of extreme weather events on future climate scenarios.

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Climate dynamics, Global Change, Atmosphere (0315, 0325), Global Change, General or miscellaneous, Mathematical Geophysics, Modeling
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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