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Philipona, R. and Dürr, B. (2004). Greenhouse forcing outweighs decreasing solar radiation driving rapid temperature rise over land. Geophysical Research Letters 31: doi: 10.1029/2004GL020937. issn: 0094-8276. |
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Since 1988, surface temperature over land in Europe increased three times faster than the northern hemisphere average. Here we contrast surface climatic and radiative parameters measured in central Europe over different time periods, including the extreme summer 2003, to pinpoint the role of individual radiative forcings in temperature increases. Interestingly, surface solar radiation rather decreases since 1981. Also, on an annual basis no net radiative cooling or warming is observed under changing cloud amounts. However, high correlation (rT = 0.86) to increasing temperature is found with total heating radiation at the surface, and very high correlation (rT = 0.98) with cloud-free longwave downward radiation. Preponderance of longwave downward radiative forcing suggests rapidly increasing greenhouse warming, which outweighs the decreasing solar radiation measured at the surface and drives rapid temperature increases over land. |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Atmospheric Composition and Structure, Evolution of the atmosphere, Global Change, Atmosphere (0315, 0325), Global Change, Climate dynamics, Global Change, Remote sensing |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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