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Detailed Reference Information |
Chang, L., Chang, F. and Tsai, Y. (2005). Fuzzy exemplar-based inference system for flood forecasting. Water Resources Research 41: doi: 10.1029/2004WR003037. issn: 0043-1397. |
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Fuzzy inference systems have been successfully applied in numerous fields since they can effectively model human knowledge and adaptively make decision processes. In this paper we present an innovative fuzzy exemplar-based inference system (FEIS) for flood forecasting. The FEIS is based on a fuzzy inference system, with its clustering ability enhanced through the Exemplar-Aided Constructor of Hyper-rectangles algorithm, which can effectively simulate human intelligence by learning from experience. The FEIS exhibits three important properties: knowledge extraction from numerical data, knowledge (rule) modeling, and fuzzy reasoning processes. The proposed model is employed to predict streamflow 1 hour ahead during flood events in the Lan-Yang River, Taiwan. For the purpose of comparison the back propagation neural network (BPNN) is also performed. The results show that the FEIS model performs better than the BPNN. The FEIS provides a great learning ability, robustness, and high predictive accuracy for flood forecasting. |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Hydrology, Floods, Hydrology, Estimation and forecasting, Hydrology, Streamflow, Computational Geophysics, Neural networks, fuzzy logic, machine learning, exemplar-aided constructor of hyper-rectangles (EACH), exemplar–based learning, flood forecasting, fuzzy inference system, neural networks |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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