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Detailed Reference Information |
Ballantyne, A.P., Lavine, M., Crowley, T.J., Liu, J. and Baker, P.B. (2005). Meta-analysis of tropical surface temperatures during the Last Glacial Maximum. Geophysical Research Letters 32: doi: 10.1029/2004GL021217. issn: 0094-8276. |
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The magnitude of tropical cooling during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) has been the subject of uncertainty for over 25 years. We use principles of meta-analysis as an objective approach to reconcile estimates from different proxies. This approach treats each observation as a random estimate of the true mean and weights estimates by their reported precision. We assigned global uncertainties to proxies and derived a new regional standard deviation for temperatures calculated from the Sr/Ca ratio in tropical corals (σ = 1.4¿C). Using a Bayesian spatial interpolation scheme, we estimate a mean cooling of LGM tropical sea surface temperatures of -2.7 ¿ 0.5¿C (¿σ) and surface air temperatures of -5.4 ¿ 0.3¿C (¿σ). |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Atmospheric Processes, Paleoclimatology (0473, 4900), Global Change, Climate dynamics (0429, 3309), Paleoceanography (0473, 3344) |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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