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Johnson & Wing 2005
Johnson, J.R. and Wing, S. (2005). A solar cycle dependence of nonlinearity in magnetospheric activity. Journal of Geophysical Research 110. doi: 10.1029/2004JA010638. issn: 0148-0227.

The nonlinear dependencies inherent to the historical Kp data stream (1932--2003) are examined using mutual information and cumulant-based cost as discriminating statistics. The discriminating statistics are compared with surrogate data streams that are constructed using the corrected amplitude adjustment Fourier transform (CAAFT) method and capture the linear properties of the original Kp data. Differences are regularly seen in the discriminating statistics a few years prior to solar minima, while no differences are apparent at the time of solar maxima. These results suggest that the dynamics of the magnetosphere tend to be more linear at solar maximum than at solar minimum. The strong nonlinear dependencies tend to peak on a timescale around 40--50 hours and are statistically significant up to 1 week. Because the solar wind driver variables, VBs, and dynamical pressure exhibit a much shorter decorrelation time for nonlinearities, the results seem to indicate that the nonlinearity is related to internal magnetospheric dynamics. Moreover, the timescales for the nonlinearity seem to be on the same order as that for storm/ring current relaxation. We suggest that the strong solar wind driving that occurs around solar maximum dominates the magnetospheric dynamics, suppressing the internal magnetospheric nonlinearity. On the other hand, in the descending phase of the solar cycle just prior to solar minimum, when magnetospheric activity is weaker, the dynamics exhibit a significant nonlinear internal magnetospheric response that may be related to increased solar wind speed.

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Magnetospheric Physics, Solar wind/magnetosphere interactions, Magnetospheric Physics, Magnetospheric configuration and dynamics, Nonlinear Geophysics, Complex systems, Mathematical Geophysics, Persistence, memory, correlations, clustering (3265, 7857), Mathematical Geophysics, Time series analysis (1872, 4277, 4475), cumulant, nonlinear dynamics, magnetic index, solar cycle, magnetic storms, mutual information
Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research
http://www.agu.org/journals/jb/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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