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Detailed Reference Information |
Carril, A.F., Menéndez, C.G. and Navarra, A. (2005). Climate response associated with the Southern Annular Mode in the surroundings of Antarctic Peninsula: A multimodel ensemble analysis. Geophysical Research Letters 32: doi: 10.1029/2005GL023581. issn: 0094-8276. |
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This paper is an attempt to extract an average picture of the response of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) to increasing greenhouse gases (GHG) forcing from a multimodel ensemble of simulations conducted in the framework of the IPCC 4th assessment experiments. Our analysis confirms that the climate change signal in the mid- to high southern latitudes projects strongly into the positive phase (PP) of the SAM. Over the present climate time slice (1970--1999), multimodel ensemble mean reproduce the regional warming around the Antarctic Peninsula (AP) associated with the SAM. When increasing GHG (future time slice, 2070--2099), warming in the neighborhoods of the AP and decreasing sea-ice volume in the sea-ice edge region in the Amundsen and Weddell Seas intensifies, suggesting that recent observed sea-ice trends around AP could be associated to anthropogenic forcings. Changes in surface temperature and sea-ice are consistent with anomalous atmospheric heat transport associated with circulation anomalies. |
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BACKGROUND DATA FILES |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Global Change, Climate variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change, Global climate models (3337, 4928), Global Change, Regional climate change, Atmospheric Processes, Ocean/atmosphere interactions (0312, 4504), Atmospheric Processes, Climate change and variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513) |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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