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Takle et al. 2005
Takle, E.S., Jha, M. and Anderson, C.J. (2005). Hydrological cycle in the upper Mississippi River basin: 20th century simulations by multiple GCMs. Geophysical Research Letters 32: doi: 10.1029/2005GL023630. issn: 0094-8276.

We used 20th century simulations by nine global climate models (GCMs) to provide input for a streamflow model to simulate baseline hydrologic conditions in the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB). Statistical tests revealed that streamflow data produced by members of the GCM multi-model ensemble were serially uncorrelated at all lags and formed unimodal distributions and that GCM multi-model results may be used to assess annual streamflow in the UMRB. Although all low-resolution GCMs produced large differences from observations of streamflow and hydrological components simulated by the streamflow model, the nine-member ensemble performed quite well. Results of statistical tests indicate that, of all models used, the high-resolution GCM -- the only high-resolution model tested -- gives simulated streamflows much closer to observed values, despite the fact that its low-resolution sister model has no advantage over the other seven low-resolution models.

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Global climate models (3337, 4928), Hydrology, Model calibration, Hydrology, Modeling, Hydrology, Streamflow
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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