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Shiogama et al. 2005
Shiogama, H., Watanabe, M., Kimoto, M. and Nozawa, T. (2005). Anthropogenic and natural forcing impacts on ENSO-like decadal variability during the second half of the 20th century. Geophysical Research Letters 32: doi: 10.1029/2005GL023871. issn: 0094-8276.

Several climate simulations, performed with an atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model, are made to evaluate the influences of anthropogenic and natural external forcing on the observed fluctuation of the Decadal El Ni¿o-Southern Oscillation (DENSO) during the second half of the 20th century. A comparison of DENSO in the model simulations and the observations suggests that the observed variability includes an unusually large trend relative to that expected from purely natural variations. Moreover, we show that there is a large probability that this trend is mainly attributable to anthropogenic factors.

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Global climate models (3337, 4928), Global Change, Climate variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Atmospheric Processes, Climate change and variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513)
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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