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Vicente-Serrano et al. 2006
Vicente-Serrano, S.M., Delbart, N., Le Toan, T. and Grippa, M. (2006). El Niño–Southern Oscillation influences on the interannual variability of leaf appearance dates in central Siberia. Geophysical Research Letters 33: doi: 10.1029/2005GL025000. issn: 0094-8276.

This paper analyses the role of the El Ni¿o--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the interannual variability of the leaf appearance dates of boreal forests in the Northern Hemisphere (1982--2004). We find significant negative correlations between the ENSO, quantified by means of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and the leaf appearance dates in central Siberia with up to 9 months lag. The correlations between leaf appearance dates and summer Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) show a pattern that resembles the ENSO phenomena with positive and significant correlations in the East Pacific and negative in the West. These findings are explained by the role of SOI on Sea Level Pressures, 500 hPa Geopotential and the wind flow direction and intensity during the months of leaf appearance (April and May) and on average temperatures, which determine noticeably the date of leaf appearance.

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Abstract

Keywords
Biogeosciences, Restoration, Biogeosciences, Ecosystems, structure and dynamics, Global Change, Climate variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change, Land/atmosphere interactions (1218, 1843, 3322), Atmospheric Processes, Climatology (1616, 1620, 3305, 4215, 8408)
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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