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| Detailed Reference Information |
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D'Alpaos, C., Dosi, C. and Moretto, M. (2006). Concession length and investment timing flexibility. Water Resources Research 42: doi: 10.1029/2005WR004021. issn: 0043-1397. |
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When assigning a concession contract, the regulator faces the issue of setting the concession length. Another key issue is whether or not the concessionaire should be allowed to set the timing of new investments. In this paper we investigate the impact of concession length and investment timing flexibility on the "concession value." It is generally argued that long-term contracts are privately valuable as they enable a concessionaire to increase its overall discounted returns. Moreover, the real option theory suggests that investment flexibility has an intrinsic value, as it allows concessionaires to avoid costly errors. By combining these two conventional wisdoms one may argue that long-term contracts, which allow for investment timing flexibility, should always result in higher concession values. Our result suggests that this is not always the case; that is, investment flexibility and long-term contracts do not necessarily increase the concession value. |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Policy Sciences, Decision making under uncertainty, Policy Sciences, Legislation and regulations, Policy Sciences, Project evaluation, Public Issues, General or miscellaneous |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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