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Ruti et al. 2006
Ruti, P.M., Lucarini, V., Dell'Aquila, A., Calmanti, S. and Speranza, A. (2006). Does the subtropical jet catalyze the midlatitude atmospheric regimes?. Geophysical Research Letters 33: doi: 10.1029/2005GL024620. issn: 0094-8276.

Understanding the atmospheric low-frequency variability is of crucial importance in fields such as climate studies, climate change detection, and extended-range weather forecast. The Northern Hemisphere climate features the planetary waves as a relevant ingredient of the atmospheric variability. Several observations and theoretical arguments seem to support the idea that winter planetary waves indicator obey a non-Gaussian statistics and may present a multimodal probability density function, thus characterizing the low-frequency portion of the climate system. We show that the upper tropospheric jet strength is a critical parameter in determining whether the planetary waves indicator exhibits a uni- or bimodal behavior, and we determine the relevant threshold value of the jet. These results are obtained by considering the data of the NCEP-NCAR and ECMWF reanalyses for the overlapping period. Our results agree with the non-linear orographic theory, which explains the statistical non-normality of the low-frequency variability of the atmosphere and its possible bimodality.

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Climate dynamics (0429, 3309), Atmospheric Processes, General circulation, Atmospheric Processes, Tides and planetary waves, Nonlinear Geophysics, Probability distributions, heavy and fat-tailed
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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