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Aksoy et al. 2006
Aksoy, A., Zhang, F. and Nielsen-Gammon, J.W. (2006). Ensemble-based simultaneous state and parameter estimation with MM5. Geophysical Research Letters 33: doi: 10.1029/2006GL026186. issn: 0094-8276.

The performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) under imperfect model conditions is investigated through simultaneous state and parameter estimation for a numerical weather prediction model of operational complexity (MM5). The source of model error is assumed to be the uncertainty in the vertical eddy mixing coefficient. Assimilations are performed with a 12-hour interval with simulated sounding and surface observations of horizontal winds and temperature. The mean estimated parameter value nicely converges to the true value within a satisfactory level of variability due to sufficient model sensitivity to parameter uncertainty and detectable (relative to ensemble sampling noise) correlation signal between the parameter and observed variables.

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Abstract

Keywords
Atmospheric Processes, Boundary layer processes, Atmospheric Processes, Data assimilation, Atmospheric Processes, Mesoscale meteorology
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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