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Detailed Reference Information |
Zemp, M., Haeberli, W., Hoelzle, M. and Paul, F. (2006). Alpine glaciers to disappear within decades?. Geophysical Research Letters 33: doi: 10.1029/2006GL026319. issn: 0094-8276. |
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Past, present and potential future glacier cover in the entire European Alps has been assessed from an integrated approach, combining in-situ measurements, remote sensing techniques and numerical modeling for equilibrium line altitudes. Alpine glaciers lost 35% of their total area from 1850 until the 1970s, and almost 50% by 2000. Total glacier volume around 1850 is estimated at some 200 km3 and is now close to one-third of this value. From the model experiment, we show that a 3¿C warming of summer air temperature would reduce the currently existing Alpine glacier cover by some 80%, or up to 10% of the glacier extent of 1850. In the event of a 5¿C temperature increase, the Alps would become almost completely ice-free. Annual precipitation changes of ¿20% would modify such estimated percentages of remaining ice by a factor of less than two. |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Cryosphere, Glaciers, Cryosphere, Modeling, Global Change, Cryospheric change, Global Change, Impacts of global change, Hydrology, Snow and ice (0736, 0738, 0776, 1827) |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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