|
Detailed Reference Information |
Shao, X. and Stein, M.L. (2006). Statistical conditional simulation of a multiresolution numerical air quality model. Journal of Geophysical Research 111: doi: 10.1029/2005JD007037. issn: 0148-0227. |
|
This paper addresses subgrid variability, an issue that naturally arises in multiresolution numerical air quality models. Unlike previous approaches, which fit a parametric distribution over a spatial block and perform the fit from block to block independently over space and time, our approach to dealing with the subgrid variability is to describe the space-time conditional distribution of high-resolution output given its low-resolution counterpart. A novel conditional simulation approach is proposed to produce an ensemble of high-resolution runs based on the runs we have, and various criteria are used to assess whether our simulated high-resolution runs capture the overall space-time variability of the original high-resolution runs. The main idea of our algorithm is to apply a nonlinear filter to the high-resolution runs based on the low-resolution runs and then perform a time domain block bootstrap for the residuals simultaneously over space. The algorithm proposed in this paper can be readily used by practitioners to generate random high-resolution runs as a useful surrogate to the real high-resolution runs when one has low-resolution runs for a long period and only a few days' high-resolution runs. |
|
|
|
BACKGROUND DATA FILES |
|
|
Abstract |
|
|
|
|
|
Keywords
Mathematical Geophysics, Probabilistic forecasting, Mathematical Geophysics, Spatial analysis, Mathematical Geophysics, Prediction (3245, 4263), Mathematical Geophysics, Spectral analysis (3205, 3280), Mathematical Geophysics, Time series analysis (1872, 4277, 4475) |
|
Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
|
|
|