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Kodaira et al. 2006
Kodaira, S., Hori, T., Ito, A., Miura, S., Fujie, G., Park, J., Baba, T., Sakaguchi, H. and Kaneda, Y. (2006). A cause of rupture segmentation and synchronization in the Nankai trough revealed by seismic imaging and numerical simulation. Journal of Geophysical Research 111: doi: 10.1029/2005JB004030. issn: 0148-0227.

A giant earthquake occasionally occurs in a subduction zone owing to a simultaneous rupture in adjacent segments which have been previously ruptured by large earthquakes. However, it is still unknown if a giant earthquake coincidentally occurs, or if there is a causal factor to control its generation. In this study we show a cause and a growth process of a giant earthquake which may occur along southwestern Japan, on the basis of seismic images obtained from wide-angle seismic data and a numerical simulation incorporating the structural images. The wide-angle seismic data were acquired along three trough parallel profiles crossing the rupture segmentation boundary between the 1944 Tonankai (moment magnitude Mw = 8.1) and the 1946 Nankai (Mw = 8.4) earthquakes. The seismic imaging detected a high seismic velocity body forming a strongly coupled patch at the segmentation boundary. The numerical simulation explained the historic rupture patterns and shows the occurrence of a giant earthquake along the entire Nankai trough, a distance of over 600 km long (Mw = 8.7). The growth process revealed from the simulated slip history in and around the strongly coupled patch is: (1) Prior to the giant earthquake, a small slow event (or earthquake) occurs near the segmentation boundary; (2) this accelerates a very slow slip (slower than the plate convergent rate), at the strong patch, which reduces a degree of coupling; and (3) then a rupture easily propagates through the strong patch when the next earthquake is nucleated near the segmentation boundary, consequently growing into a giant earthquake.

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Marine Geology and Geophysics, Marine seismics (0935, 7294), Marine Geology and Geophysics, Subduction zone processes (1031, 3613, 8170, 8413), Computational Geophysics, Numerical solutions, Seismology, Subduction zones (1207, 1219, 1240), Seismology, Earthquake dynamics
Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research
http://www.agu.org/journals/jb/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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