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Detailed Reference Information |
Hadley, S.W., Erickson, D.J., Hernandez, J.L., Broniak, C.T. and Blasing, T.J. (2006). Responses of energy use to climate change: A climate modeling study. Geophysical Research Letters 33: doi: 10.1029/2006GL026652. issn: 0094-8276. |
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Using a general-circulation climate model to drive an energy-use model, we projected changes in USA energy-use and in corresponding fossil-fuel CO2 emissions through year 2025 for a low (1.2¿C) and a high (3.4¿C) temperature response to CO2 doubling. The low-ΔT scenario had a cumulative (2003--2025) energy increase of 1.09 quadrillion Btu (quads) for cooling/heating demand. Northeastern states had net energy reductions for cooling/heating over the entire period, but in most other regions energy increases for cooling outweighed energy decreases for heating. The high-ΔT scenario had significantly increased warming, especially in winter, so decreased heating needs led to a cumulative (2003--2025) heating/cooling energy decrease of 0.82 quads. In both scenarios, CO2 emissions increases from electricity generation outweighed CO2 emissions decreases from reduced heating needs. The results reveal the intricate energy-economy structure that must be considered in projecting consequences of climate warming for energy, economics, and fossil-fuel carbon emissions. |
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BACKGROUND DATA FILES |
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Abstract![](/images/icons/spacer.gif) |
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Keywords
Biogeosciences, Carbon cycling, Atmospheric Processes, Global climate models (1626, 4928), Policy Sciences, Demand estimation, Policy Sciences, System operation and management, Public Issues, Science policy |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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