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Slott et al. 2006
Slott, J.M., Murray, A.B., Ashton, A.D. and Crowley, T.J. (2006). Coastline responses to changing storm patterns. Geophysical Research Letters 33: doi: 10.1029/2006GL027445. issn: 0094-8276.

Researchers and coastal managers are pondering how accelerated sea-level rise and possibly intensified storms will affect shorelines. These issues are most often investigated in a cross-shore profile framework, fostering the implicit assumption that coastline responses will be approximately uniform in the alongshore direction. However, experiments with a recently developed numerical model of coastline change on a large spatial domain suggest that the shoreline responses to climate change could be highly variable. As storm and wave climates change, large-scale coastline shapes are likely to shift-causing areas of greatly accelerated coastal erosion to alternate with areas of considerable shoreline accretion. On complex-shaped coastlines, including cuspate-cape and spit coastlines, the alongshore variation in shoreline retreat rates could be an order of magnitude higher than the baseline retreat rate expected from sea-level rise alone.

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Abstract

Keywords
Global Change, Impacts of global change, Nonlinear Geophysics, Complex systems, Oceanography, Physical, Nearshore processes, Oceanography, Physical, Sediment transport
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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