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Kafka & Ebel 2007
Kafka, A.L. and Ebel, J.E. (2007). Exaggerated Claims About Earthquake Predictions. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union 88: doi: 10.1029/2007EO010002. issn: 0096-3941.

The perennial promise of successful earthquake prediction captures the imagination of a public hungry for certainty in an uncertain world. Yet, given the lack of any reliable method of predicting earthquakes, seismologists regularly have to explain news stories of a supposedly successful earthquake prediction when it is far from clear just how successful that prediction actually was. When journalists and public relations offices report the latest 'great discovery' regarding the prediction of earthquakes, seismologists are left with the much less glamorous task of explaining to the public the gap between the claimed success and the sober reality that there is no scientifically proven method of predicting earthquakes.

BACKGROUND DATA FILES

Abstract

Keywords
Seismology, Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction (1217, 1242), Seismology, Seismicity and tectonics (1207, 1217, 1240, 1242), Seismology, General or miscellaneous
Journal
Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
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