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Detailed Reference Information |
Krishnan, R., Ramesh, K.V., Samala, B.K., Meyers, G., Slingo, J.M. and Fennessy, M.J. (2006). Indian Ocean-monsoon coupled interactions and impending monsoon droughts. Geophysical Research Letters 33: doi: 10.1029/2006GL025811. issn: 0094-8276. |
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Monsoon droughts over the Indian subcontinent emanate from failures in the seasonal (June--September) monsoon rains. While prolonged dry-spells ("monsoon-breaks") pervade on sub-seasonal/intra-seasonal time-scales, the underlying causes for these long-lasting anomalies remain elusive. Based on analyses of a suite of observed data sets, we report an ocean-atmosphere dynamical coupling on intra-seasonal time-scales, in the tropical Indian Ocean, which is pivotal in forcing extended monsoon-breaks and causing droughts over the subcontinent. This coupling involves a feedback between the monsoonal flow and thermocline depth in the Equatorial Eastern Indian Ocean (EEIO), in which an anomaly of the summer monsoon circulation induces downwelling and maintains a higher-than-normal heat-content. The near-equatorial anomalies induce strong and sustained suppression of monsoon rainfall over the subcontinent. It is concluded that the intra-seasonal evolution of the ocean-monsoon coupled system is a vital key to unlocking the dynamics of monsoon droughts. |
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Abstract |
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Keywords
Global Change, Climate variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change, Oceans (1616, 3305, 4215, 4513), Atmospheric Processes, Ocean/atmosphere interactions (0312, 4504), Oceanography, Physical, Air/sea interactions (0312, 3339) |
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Publisher
American Geophysical Union 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009-1277 USA 1-202-462-6900 1-202-328-0566 service@agu.org |
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